Breeders Cup Classic Predictions Picks 2017

Breeders Cup Classic PredictionsHere we go, the time is here. The 2017 Breeders Cup World Championships are so close we can taste it and wallets just might be itching to get in on the action. We believe in providing information to anyone who wants it and we do not believe in charging for it despite what many have told us. Why? Information is key and the more insights, opinions, numbers, or other tidbits a handicapper can get will only benefit them. Do we bet? Yes we do but we pick and choose when the logic dictates and that is what all of you should do. If you are not sure then do not bet. It does not matter if you are reading Breeders Cup Classic predictions or a maiden race on a Wednesday. If you believe then bet. If you are not sure then just watch and enjoy. Always remember that.

 

Race: Classic (G1)

Location: Del Mar

Distance: Mile and one quarter

Surface: Dirt

Purse: $6,000,000

Date: Saturday, November 4 2017

Age: Two

Post Time: 8:35 PM EST

The Backstory – Over the years I have continued to modify how I break down each race based on input from the readers (Thank for your reading and leaving feedback over the years). That could be from any number of sites I have created content for including Sports Unbiased. However, when I started Longshot Horse Racing, I wanted to apply all I heard and get away from very granular and in-depth analysis of each horse in the field. Many claimed the reading was dry and over the top. Now you will find data about each horse, how it should shake out, and we will have a little fun doing it. If you want just the raw numbers then Brisnet, Equibase, or even the Daily Racing Form are right up your alley (and mine since I love them all) but if you want the breakdown with a twist then read on and enjoy.

Breeders Cup Classic Predictions – Post Positions and Odds

PPM/LHorse
12-1Arrogate
230-1War Decree
330-1Win The Space
430-1War Story
59-5Gun Runner
612-1Mubtaahij
715-1Churchill
86-1West Coast
930-1Gunnevera
1020-1Pavel
116-1Collected

Breeders Cup Classic PredictionsContenders Analysis

red saddle cloth post 1Arrogate – Horse of the year is up for grabs and this race will tell the tale. Arrogate, at his best, is the best in the world. He has won over multiple surfaces and throughout multiple countries. The knock recently is two consecutive less than Arrogate performances at Del Mar. He did win here last August but he will have to exercise the demons.

 

white saddle cloth post 2War Decree – Invading from across the pond after a G2 score. The challenge there is that will was against lesser and that win was over synthetic. He does have a chance but is arguably the second choice from his own barn.

 

blue saddle cloth post 3Win the Space – Not going to spend a ton of time here. Comes back and runs in the same race where he was eased at almost 75-1 last year. Was third in Awesome Again but that races winner is 20-1 in this field.

 

yellow saddle cloth post 4War Story – I cannot shake the fact that I always find myself liking him but I also cannot shake why I just will not let it go. A few starts ago he scored in the G2 Brooklyn at one and a half but at this distance or less against top level he just fails to be a match. Maybe one of these he will surprise.

 

green saddle cloth post 5Gun Runner – Has been absolutely dominant in recent starts and is battling Arrogate for horse of the year. He rarely misses and always comes ready to go. The point of concern is his 10 furlong form where he is winless in three tries. The Classic=10 furlongs

 

black saddle cloth post 6Mubtaahij – I did not like him last year and that has not really changed in any way. I will point out that the new trainer added blinkers and he scored in the Awesome Again but a big jump is still needed to compete here.

 

orange saddle cloth post 7Churchill – Only two invaders have scored in the Classic but they were both in the top-two at Ascot in the QEII. That is an angle that will benefit Churchill. Two glaring things are here though. First is how he will handle dirt and the second is how he will feel about the dirt. If those are okay and he is at his best there is a chance here.

 

violet saddle cloth post 8West Coast – He is the top three-year-old in the country and winner of five straight. He will be entering the starting gate against older for the first time. He has all the talent in the world and can win this race. I expect him to go off as a close third around 3-1 and that is a short price to ask in this race. Capable? Of course but I cannot promise I will bet him at the expected price.

 

teal saddle cloth post 9Gunnevera – Earlier in the year this was a horse that many were interested in but how the world changes. Nothing to great until a big second to West Coast in the Travers. But even that was a non-factoring second. Appears to be in way over his head here but will be coming late and if a Travers was a sign of a big step then you will get paid.

 

dark purple saddle cloth post 10Pavel – Here lies a late bloomer who did not come on the scene until the summer. A ton of talent in this one. Scored in G3 Smarty Jones and was an even more impressive third against older in the G1 Jockey Club Gold Cup at a mile and a quarter. He has improved in each start and no reason to think he will not be a monster next year. The question is, can he factor in this year’s Classic. Personally I think so.

 

grey saddle cloth post 11Collected – Here lies the horse that took care of Arrogate in the Pacific Classic this summer which means he can score, he likes Del Mar and 10 furlongs are fine with him.  Winner of eight out of 11 in his career. Point of note is he wired the field in the Pacific Classic so no reason to think the strategy will be any different here. Can he hold off Arrogate and others again? From a betting perspective he will get slightly overlooked given the top-three and you could see 8-1 or 10-1.

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Breeders Cup Classic Predictions – Live Longshot

(10) Pavel

 

Breeders Cup Classic Predictions – Betting Strategy

As I have eluded to in this piece, I am looking for value in a race that could easily be all chalk. How will it all shake out? It is almost impossible to tell but based on the data I provided in the contenders analysis and the preceding paragraphs, I present some logical betting options based on your favorite cup of tea or betting style. How do you bet a horse race?? What type of bankroll are you playing with? Is it about having a good time and being a part of the spectacle? Or is it about finding a way to make money? No matter what you want or the size of your bankroll there are different ways you can approach 2017 Breeders Cup Classic predictions and betting strategies.

If you are looking for other betting combinations and have a hard calculating bet costs Longshot Horse Racing has your back. We developed a free simple to use wagering calculator optimized for use outdoors in daylight and at the track. Download the product from the Google Play Store Here. Do not forget to rate the application.

 

$12 investment
$1 Exacta Box1 with 10 with 11
$1 Trifecta Box1 with 10 with 11
$20 investment
$1 Exacta Box1 with 10 with 11
$1 Trifecta Box1 with 10 with 11
$4 Win / Place10
$30 investment
$1 Exacta Box1 with 7 with 10 with 11
$.50 Trifecta Box1 with 7 with 10 with 11
$3 Win / Place10
$50 investment
$1 Exacta Box1 with 7 with 10 with 11
$1 Trifecta 10 with 1,7,8,11
$1 Trifecta 11 with 1,7,8,10
$4 WP10

There you have our 2017 Breeders Cup Classic predictions. Do you agree or are there other 2017 Breeders Cup Classic predictions that we did not include? Here at Longshot Horse Racing we are all for readers commenting but can we make a suggestion? Why don’t you write your own piece? It can be 3000 words or even 300.  Here we encourage different opinions and want to give you a chance to build your brand. Join us and let your voice be heard. Just check out the Write With Us link to get started. Don’t worry its easy and remember you can build you brand by writing with us and not for us. That is the big difference. It is all about you in your words.

 

 

2017 Breeders Cup Live Longshot Picks Fridays Races

2017 BREEDERS CUP LIVE LONGHSOT PICKSWe all know that every handicapper is always on the hunt for the angle or the hope to grab a horse that scores at a nice price. Even better when that handicapper finds a horse they love, in a race with chalk that comes out and returns $25, $50 or more to win on a $2 bet. There is no better place or time for these expectations to come true that the annual 2-day rite of passage known as the Breeders Cup. Is it easy to pick out 2017 Breeders Cup live longshot picks? Of course it is not.

Everyone will gravitate to the chalk but remember every horse here had to qualify for a shot in the 14 horse limited starting gate for each race. What does that mean? All have some type of merit and everyone (well almost) has a shot to score assuming the perfect weather, pace scenario, and a full out run. Is it more likely with some rather than others? Of course it is but this is no shock.

When you play longshots the reality is they will not come through in every race but the return if you are right is exponential, especially if you play them on top in some form of exotic. For me,  there are many races including marquee races I will pass on if I cannot find the horse I want. I have no issue with that and you shouldn’t either even if you have 2017 Breeders Cup Live Longshot Picks but are not 100 percent.

Below is my breakdown of the horses that can be 2017 Breeders Cup live longshot pick for Friday’s races. Take everything as quantifying data and fire away. Will all these come through? I sure hope so but I am a realist. Remember, you do not need a 30-1 to win if you can pair him in an exacta and he runs second. You do not need her to win at 50-1 if she is second to a 4-1 in a trifecta. These all yield great returns. Without further delay, here are my 2017 Breeders Cup live longshot picks. Happy handicapping.

The Backstory – Over the years I have continued to modify how I break down each race based on input from the readers (Thank for your reading and leaving feedback over the years). That could be from any number of sites I have created content for including Sports Unbiased. However, when I started Longshot Horse Racing, I wanted to apply all I heard and get away from very granular and in-depth analysis of each horse in the field. Many claimed the reading was dry and over the top. Now you will find data about each horse, how it should shake out, and we will have a little fun doing it. If you want just the raw numbers then Brisnet, Equibase, or even the Daily Racing Form are right up your alley (and mine since I love them all) but if you want the breakdown with a twist then read on and enjoy.

Double - 728x90

2017 Breeders Cup Live Longshot Picks – Friday

If you are looking for other betting combinations and have a hard calculating bet costs Longshot Horse Racing has your back. We developed a free simple to use wagering calculator optimized for use outdoors in daylight and at the track. Download the product from the Google Play Store Here. Do not forget to rate the application.

Juvenile Fillies Turf Longshot Play

red saddle cloth post 1 Best Performance (Morning Line 12-1)– More than interesting entrant here in the one. She will be coming late and the tight turns should not factor since a sweeping outside move is more probable. Last two starts on the grass were more impressive than the stat lines indicates. The pace was slow and a challenge to close into. That will not be the case here. Very very interesting.

 

brown saddle cloth post 13 Juliet Capulet (Morning Line 12-1)– Shows up here after a solid Group 2 win. This European invader will afford you some value due to concerns that she might not love stretching out to this distance. That being said, the extra distance is somewhat negated by the firmness of the Del Mar turf in comparison to her normal conditions. All current signs point to a horse ready to really fire and she should sit to get the first jump if she lands a stalking trip.

 

Las Vegas Dirt Mile Longshot Play

red saddle cloth post 1Iron Fist (Morning Line 12-1) – You have to love the name right? At five it appears he has carved a home for himself and has been enjoying trips to the winners circle at nice clips. Yes, it was a conscience decision to run him at lesser tracks but it has paid off. While allowance, he does have a win at Del Mar over this distance in the past. This race will have pace he might surprise coming from slightly off.

 

teal saddle cloth post 9Battle of Midway (Morning Line 10-1) – Almost always runs a solid race that is never quite enough in the biggest of races but was a solid second in a roughly run last against solid competition. Key here and a hope is that the best run race of his career was his lone start here at Del Mar. Plus you might get a reprieve with Mor Spirit entering off five month break.

 

Juvenile Turf Longshot Play

maroon saddle cloth post 14 Rajasinghe (Morning Line 30-1)-  So here is the thing, there are many races over the next couple of days when the favorite will not win but many winners will not be HUGE prices. Here is one that just might be. Having a European invader is never a bad thing in a turf race. The early part of the year through the beginning of summer this one was very solid. Laid an egg last out in the Juddmonte Middle Park Stakes but the turf was clearly not to liking and still could have finished better if asked. Ships in to very firm turf at Del Mar and that could result in a return to form from earlier in the year. While uncertain of exact form, if that happens he bombs the board. At a minimum get in exotics.

 

Longine Distaff Longshot Play

orange saddle cloth post 7Paradise Woods (Morning Line 9-2)– While technically not a longshot at 9-2, this is the closest you will get as the fifth choice in an eight horse field. Things look good here. The trends align for her in the Distaff. A good rest break between starts, front running style is favored in Southern California editions, and trainer Mandella guided Beholder to two Distaff scores.

There you have our 2017 Breeders Cup Live Longshot Picks. Do you agree or are there other 2017 Breeders Cup Live Longshot Picks that we did not include? Here at Longshot Horse Racing we are all for readers commenting but can we make a suggestion? Why don’t you write your own piece? It can be 3000 words or even 300.  Here we encourage different opinions and want to give you a chance to build your brand. Join us and let your voice be heard. Just check out the Write With Us link to get started. Don’t worry its easy and remember you can build you brand by writing with us and not for us. That is the big difference. It is all about you in your words.

Longines Distaff Predictions Picks 2017 Breeders Cup

Here we go, the time is here. The 2017 Breeders Cup World Championships are so close we can taste it and wallets just might be itching to get in on the action. We believe in providing information to anyone who wants it and we do not believe in charging for it despite what many have told us. Why? Information is key and the more insights, opinions, numbers, or other tidbits a handicapper can get will only benefit them. Do we bet? Yes we do but we pick and choose when the logic dictates and that is what all of you should do. If you are not sure then do not bet. It does not matter if you are reading Longines Distaff Predictions or a maiden race on a Wednesday. If you believe then bet. If you are not sure then just watch and enjoy. Always remember that.

 

Race: Longines Distaff (G1)

Location: Del Mar

Distance: Mile and an Eighth

Surface: Dirt

Purse: $2,000,000

Date: Friday, November 3 2017

Age: 3+

Post Time: 7:35 PM EST

The Backstory – Over the years I have continued to modify how I break down each race based on input from the readers (Thank for your reading and leaving feedback over the years). That could be from any number of sites I have created content for including Sports Unbiased. However, when I started Longshot Horse Racing, I wanted to apply all I heard and get away from very granular and in-depth analysis of each horse in the field. Many claimed the reading was dry and over the top. Now you will find data about each horse, how it should shake out, and we will have a little fun doing it. If you want just the raw numbers then Brisnet, Equibase, or even the Daily Racing Form are right up your alley (and mine since I love them all) but if you want the breakdown with a twist then read on and enjoy.

Longines Distaff Predictions – Post Positions and Odds

PPM/LHorse
115-1Champagne Room
25-2Stellar Wind
330-1Mopotism
44-1Abel Tasman
53-1Elate
64-1Forever Unbridled
79-2Paradise Woods
815-1Romantic Vision
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Longines Distaff Predictions Contenders Analysis

red saddle cloth post 1Champagne Room – Worked well this summer at Del Mar. Did have a sharp return but this is beyond a step up, it is an absolute jump. I cannot even create a scenario where this one rounds out the exotics.

 

white saddle cloth post 2Stellar Wind – The one to beat when at best and frankly not even debatable to me. Connections took it easy with her this year and that resulted in three Grade 1 starts and three Grade 1 wins. If there is a chance to be off you can always argue that over three months rest, regardless of plan, can create a new variable.

 

blue saddle cloth post 3Mopotism – Let’s wrap this one up quickly. O’Neill convinced connections or connections convinced O”Neil that this one should run. I am not convinced in any way. Finishing outside of the basement will be an accomplishment.

 

yellow saddle cloth post 4Abel Tasman – Baffert always makes sure they are ready but not sure the works align with a plan to fire on Friday. A very talented horse that, at best, can score but not sure that is the case. Southern California Breeders Cup Distaff races do not yield many closers up front so that makes it a bit harder.

 

green saddle cloth post 5Elate – Bill Mott has steered five runners to winner circle in this race. She seems to be stepping up at the right time. She just beat older in the Beldame (nine Distaff winners from that race) and is entering on five weeks off which closely aligns with the 39 day average winner break.

 

black saddle cloth post 6Forever Unbridled – Seven wins on seven tracks means there is no surface she does not like. But she will have almost 10 weeks off before the start, is a closer (see earlier) and is a year older than the average. All negatives but it is not impossible.

 

orange saddle cloth post 7Paradise Woods – Things look good here. The trends align for her in the Distaff. Rest of not bad, front running style is favored in Southern California editions, and trainer Mandella guided Beholder to two Distaff scores.

 

violet saddle cloth post 8Romantic Vision – Finally scored a Grade 1 win at half a decade. But that win was on a sloppy track and Del Mar will not be sloppy on Saturday. Congrats on making the gate and good luck. You are going to need it.

 

Longines Distaff Predictions – Live Longshot

NONE

 

Longines Distaff Predictions – Betting Strategy

As I have eluded to in this piece, I am looking for value in a race that could easily be all chalk. How will it all shake out? It is almost impossible to tell but based on the data I provided in the contenders analysis and the preceding paragraphs, I present some logical betting options based on your favorite cup of tea or betting style. How do you bet a horse race?? What type of bankroll are you playing with? Is it about having a good time and being a part of the spectacle? Or is it about finding a way to make money? No matter what you want or the size of your bankroll there are different ways you can approach 2017 Longines Distaff predictions and betting strategies.

If you are looking for other betting combinations and have a hard calculating bet costs Longshot Horse Racing has your back. We developed a free simple to use wagering calculator optimized for use outdoors in daylight and at the track. Download the product from the Google Play Store Here. Do not forget to rate the application.

 

$12 investment
$1 Exacta Box2 with 5 with 7
$1 Trifecta Box2 with 5 with 7
$20 investment
$1 Exacta Box2 with 5 with 7
$1 Trifecta Box2 with 5 with 7
$4 Win / Place7

There you have our 2017 Longines Distaff predictions. Do you agree or are there other 2017 Longines Distaff predictions that we did not include? Here at Longshot Horse Racing we are all for readers commenting but can we make a suggestion? Why don’t you write your own piece? It can be 3000 words or even 300.  Here we encourage different opinions and want to give you a chance to build your brand. Join us and let your voice be heard. Just check out the Write With Us link to get started. Don’t worry its easy and remember you can build you brand by writing with us and not for us. That is the big difference. It is all about you in your words.