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PARX Late Pick 4 Picks Incl. Penn Derby, Cotillion Stakes, Gallant Bob Sept 24

blue horses racingDo you like exotics? Are you a multi-race player? Below is the quick hit approach of how I would (and probably will) play the late Pick 4 at PARX this Saturday the 24th of 2016. It is the biggest racing day of the year at PARX and that can be seen in the late Pick 4. Races 8 thru 11 are all stakes including the PA Derby Champion Stakes, the Grade 3 Gallant Bob Stakes, the Grade 1 Cotillion Stakes, and culminating in the Grade 2 Pennsylvania Derby. Let’s not waste time and get into the picks.

 

$.50 Pick 4 Race 8-11 Saturday September 24

Race 8 PA Derby Champion Stakes (Frosted Stakes)

Distance –Mile and a sixteenth

(1) Cyrus Alexander 6/1 Won G3 Lone Star Park Handicap and second last out in G3 Longacres Mile. Bejarano has the mount and he watched the tape. Move him a bit earlier and he can get there.

(4) Res Judicata 4/1 Second last time out in the Roanoke Stakes here at PARX. Could be the speed of the race and Castellano will do his best to have him up front. We will see if he hangs on.

(7) Tale of Life 3/1 Scored a victory in Saratoga in last start at a mile and an eighth. It was an optional claimer but it was Saratoga. Geroux a plus in the saddle.

 

Race 9 Gallant Bob Stakes (G3)

Distance- Six Furlongs

(3) Threefiveindia 7/2 Transferred to the Chad Brown barn before a second-level optional-claiming score at Saratoga. He will step forward and his 6.28 in the final sixteenth last out is impressive. Castellano has the mount.

(4) Navy Hymn 5/1 Ships in from the “left coast” and leaves California for the first time. Does have scores on multiple tracks. Enters stakes competition but is three-for-three lifetime at six furlongs. Bejarano knows how to get this done.

(5) Noholdingback Bear 5/2 Comes in off a third at the G1 Kings Bishop. Drop down will help. Has won on multiple tracks at this distance. Can take the lead or stalk. That could be here at PARX. Not a fan of a short price in this race but cannot be ignored.

(11) Klingon Warrior 20/1 True it is a bit of a flyer and stepping up for the first time but consider this. Only two career starts, both wins. Both of those wins and starts are here at the quirky PARX. He retains the winning jockey and is second off a long layoff. Could be a very nice price.

 

Race 10 Cotillion Stakes (G1)

Distance- Mile and a sixteenth

** This is a really tough one for me. Not because I do not believe but I want to go two deep here with Cathryn Sophia but I am trying to keep the price down. I will give three options below.**

(2) Cathryn Sophia 5/2 Yes it is true, the Kentucky Oaks winner is not undefeated but she is six-for-eight with the other two being thirds. The only real unknown against Songbird since they have yet to meet until now. She loves PARX with two scores here already. We know the surface at PARX can be bizarre and Cathryn Sophia Proven she can handle it.

(5) Songbird 1/2 Honestly there is no real knock that can be made. Perfect 10-for-10 over multiple tracks, distance, and states. Most wins are not even all out yet still convincing. The closest to a sure thing in this pick 4. The probable single for the Pick 4.

*On a fair track beware of a closing Land Over Sea*

 

Race 11 Pennsylvania Derby (G2)

Distance- Mile and an eighth

(7) Gun Runner 6/1 An interesting play because it seems a large portion knock him. He has two bad goes of it and bot were in the slop. The weather is a non-factor this weekend. Great last start against other-worldly performance from Arrogate. Geroux is lighting it up and stays with him.  Battling top class all year so don’t sleep here.

(9) Nyquist 5/2 How the mighty have fallen in many eyes. It was not long ago he came out of the Kentucky Derby still undefeated and toppling everyone he faced. Then two losses and here we are. But both losses were on off tracks and he was inexplicably set to speed duels when he could have rated and kicked at the turn. Expect a return to rate in this one and that could put him back on track.

*If pulled back, beware of Connect who could be a factor here if he avoids pace duel.*

The Plays:

Cheaper Option Cost $12
Rc 8(1) Cyrus Alexander, (4) Res Jusicata, (7) Tale of Life
Rc 9(3) Threefiveindia, (4) Navy Hymn, (5) Noholdingback, (11) Klingon Warrior
Rc 10(5) Songbird
Rc 11(7) Gun Runner, (9) Nyquist
Medium Option Cost $24
Rc 8(1) Cyrus Alexander, (4) Res Jusicata, (7) Tale of Life
Rc 9(3) Threefiveindia, (4) Navy Hymn, (5) Noholdingback, (11) Klingon Warrior
Rc 10(2) Cathryn Sophia, (5) Songbird
Rc 11(7) Gun Runner, (9) Nyquist
Pricy Option Cost $36
Rc 8(1) Cyrus Alexander, (4) Res Jusicata, (7) Tale of Life
Rc 9(3) Threefiveindia, (4) Navy Hymn, (5) Noholdingback, (11) Klingon Warrior
Rc 10(2) Cathryn Sophia, (5) Songbird
Rc 11(4) Connect, (7) Gun Runner, (9) Nyquist

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